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Three Canadian HR leaders said the people agenda is now integrated into business strategy as Ottawa and industry respond to a tariff fight that targets $27.6 billion in U.S. imports, and the federal government unveiled a $7.5-billion employer-and-worker support package in August, as first reported by Canadian HR Reporter. HR teams are being asked to convert scenario planning and workforce flexibility into operational priorities: HR leaders are joining strategic planning, aligning organisation design with business goals, and working to preserve critical skills through retraining and work-sharing where possible.
From an HR perspective, we are focused on maintaining the flexibility to respond to different scenarios while continuing to invest in the critical skills and talent we need,
Stephanie Shaw, vice-president of human resources, Eldorado Gold
Key takeaways
- Tariff scale: Canada imposed retaliatory tariffs on $27.6 billion in U.S. imports; Ottawa announced a $7.5-billion support package in August.
- Voices from HR: Stephanie Shaw (Eldorado Gold), Tammy Sergie (EHN Canada) and Annette Dhanasar (Hansen's Group of Companies) describe HR as a strategic partner in planning and execution.
- Sector impact: RBC Economics flagged plastics, electrical machinery, furniture and wood products among the most affected sectors and found auto, metals and forestry workforces under strain (RBC analysis cited Feb. 4, 2026).
- Support and retraining: The Workforce Retention and Retraining Program offers employers up to $1,000 per participant for training and administrative costs.
- Provincial response: Ontario expanded eligibility for a $1-billion tariff support program to help affected employers and workers.
Table of contents
Scenario planning is now mandatory for HR
HR leaders describe scenario-based workforce planning as table stakes in a tariff environment that has stretched into 2026. Stephanie Shaw, vice-president of human resources at Eldorado Gold in Vancouver, says the tariffs have not produced “material impacts” for her company but have increased global uncertainty that requires disciplined planning and flexibility. Employers are building capacity to shift staff, redeploy skills and pause non-essential hires while they model outcomes.
Andrew Bratt, partner at Gowling in Toronto, says employers are more comfortable tolerating prolonged uncertainty than in early 2025 and are using the interval to assess exposures and contingency-plan. That attitude reduces the likelihood of immediate, broad layoffs and increases reliance on staged responses: hold, redeploy, retrain, or use temporary work-sharing arrangements where appropriate. This approach keeps critical skills available should demand recover.
People strategy is business strategy
HR leaders stress that people decisions are inseparable from strategic choices about growth, productivity and transformation. Shaw frames her role as “increasingly as a strategic business partner that is helping shape the strategy and then making sure we can execute it through our people and organization.” That description underlines a simple mechanism: decide what to achieve, map the organisation you need to achieve it, then match talent and capability.
Tammy Sergie, chief HR and privacy officer at EHN Canada, calls people and culture interchangeable with business strategy because execution depends on frontline and leadership behaviours. The practical consequence is that HR must sit in on commercial planning, risk assessment and capital-allocation conversations rather than being consulted only after those decisions are taken.
Cost containment, communication and retention trade-offs
When business confidence retreats, leaders typically pivot from investment and innovation toward cost containment, and those choices reverberate through engagement and retention. Sergie notes that tightening costs can undermine mission-critical efforts if employees are not kept aligned. Employment lawyer Stephen Shore says clear, adult-to-adult communication is one of the most effective tools employers have: explain exposures, be transparent about uncertainties, and outline contingency plans so key staff do not assume the worst and leave.
Bratt points to work-sharing and retraining as ways to preserve relationships with skilled, long-tenured staff. If employers dismiss experienced workers during a temporary downturn, replacing them when conditions improve is costly or impossible. That calculus explains why some employers prefer temporary reductions or redeployment over outright layoffs where regulations and programs permit.
Support programs and where they fit operationally
Ottawa consolidated supports in the Workforce Retention and Retraining Program, which merges EI Work-Sharing and the Worker Retention Grant and offers employers up to $1,000 per participant for training and administrative costs. Provincial measures supplement federal aid: Ontario has expanded eligibility for a $1-billion tariff support program aimed at affected employers and workers. HR teams are integrating awareness of these programs into staffing contingency plans and training budgets.
Practical HR steps include assessing which roles are tariff-exposed, prioritizing redeployment to less-affected business lines, and documenting training pathways when grants cover part of the cost. Employers with complex cross-border supply chains may combine program support with scenario planning to stagger decisions and protect critical skills until demand visibility improves.
| Sector | RBC-noted impact | Regional concentration |
|---|---|---|
| Plastic products | Among the most significantly impacted by the latest retaliatory tariffs | Higher concentration in Quebec, British Columbia and Ontario |
| Electrical machinery | Among the most significantly impacted by the latest retaliatory tariffs | Higher concentration in Quebec, British Columbia and Ontario |
| Furniture | Among the most significantly impacted by the latest retaliatory tariffs | Higher concentration in Quebec, British Columbia and Ontario |
| Wood products | Among the most significantly impacted by the latest retaliatory tariffs | Higher concentration in Quebec, British Columbia and Ontario |
| Auto, metals and forestry | RBC found workforces under the greatest strain (analysis cited Feb. 4, 2026) | Widespread, with notable impacts in auto hubs and forestry regions |
How this could unfold
The case for
- HR-led scenario planning and use of work-sharing or retraining programs could preserve critical skills and shorten recovery time if demand returns.
- Federal supports, including the $7.5-billion package and the Workforce Retention and Retraining Program with up to $1,000 per participant, reduce the immediate cash burden on employers and make temporary measures more viable.
The case against
- Sustained tariffs on $27.6 billion in imports could depress activity in concentrated sectors, producing permanent job losses in auto, metals and forestry that retraining grants cannot fully offset.
- If employers opt for deep cost cuts rather than staged responses, organisations risk losing long-tenured, skilled employees that are expensive or impossible to replace later.
What to be careful about
- Permanent loss of skilled workers if temporary measures become permanent layoffs, increasing long-term replacement costs.
- Poor communication leading key staff to exit, as employees who ‘read the news’ may search for alternatives if not given clarity.
- Regional labour shocks in Quebec, British Columbia and Ontario where tariff exposure is concentrated.
- Insufficient take-up or slow administration of federal and provincial programs, leaving employers without timely support.
The bottom line
Interviews and analysis sketch a single outcome: HR has shifted from a downstream role to a central one in companies' responses to tariffs and heightened uncertainty. Practical steps — scenario planning, transparent employee communication, redeployment and targeted use of retraining grants — reduce the risk that temporary shocks become permanent capability losses. When provinces and the federal government provide timely program support, employers can choose options to retain skilled staff; where that support is absent, HR must make hard choices and document paths to recovery.
What to watch
- Watch for federal implementation details and guidance on the Workforce Retention and Retraining Program; no completion date has been set.
- Watch for provincial rollout updates from Ontario on expanded eligibility for its $1-billion tariff support program; no date has been set.
- Watch for follow-up employment data or sectoral reports from RBC or Statistics Canada measuring post-tariff labour changes; no date has been set.
Frequently asked questions
How big are the tariffs and what support has Ottawa offered?
Canada imposed retaliatory tariffs on $27.6 billion in U.S. imports and Ottawa announced a $7.5-billion support package in August; the Workforce Retention and Retraining Program consolidates work-sharing and offers up to $1,000 per participant for training and administrative costs.
Which sectors and regions are most exposed?
RBC Economics flagged plastic products, electrical machinery, furniture and wood products among the most significantly impacted, with higher concentration of effect in Quebec, British Columbia and Ontario; RBC also noted auto, metals and forestry workforces under significant strain (analysis cited Feb. 4, 2026).
What should HR prioritise right now?
HR should prioritise scenario-based workforce planning and clear communication: map roles exposed to tariffs, plan redeployment or retraining pathways, and use work-sharing options where temporary reductions are needed, advice echoed by legal and HR leaders interviewed in the reporting.
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